Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.068431 0.079727 0.092234 0.107098 0.124275 0.143491 0.166616
2024-10-13 0.051591 0.066604 0.084914 0.108848 0.139270 0.176613 0.225903
2024-10-20 0.039302 0.055108 0.075941 0.105321 0.145601 0.198801 0.274317
2024-10-27 0.031236 0.046949 0.069049 0.102259 0.150747 0.218787 0.321336
2024-11-03 0.026899 0.042930 0.066777 0.104619 0.162923 0.249075 0.385712
2024-11-10 0.024147 0.040651 0.066452 0.109419 0.178840 0.286183 0.464212
2024-11-17 0.021468 0.037960 0.064945 0.111911 0.191156 0.318856 0.539423
2024-11-24 0.018910 0.035006 0.062489 0.112328 0.199869 0.346440 0.609270
2024-12-01 0.016656 0.032196 0.059812 0.111862 0.206793 0.371513 0.677394
2024-12-08 0.014638 0.029483 0.056884 0.110453 0.211695 0.393379 0.742045
2024-12-15 0.013569 0.028393 0.056736 0.114051 0.225986 0.433186 0.843023
2024-12-22 0.012579 0.027300 0.056410 0.117204 0.239702 0.473230 0.948582
2024-12-29 0.011737 0.026418 0.056436 0.121169 0.255713 0.519795 1.072797
2025-01-05 0.010906 0.025439 0.056143 0.124460 0.270804 0.566299 1.202345
2025-01-12 0.009566 0.023134 0.052763 0.120801 0.271046 0.583178 1.273842
2025-01-19 0.008428 0.021109 0.049703 0.117401 0.271348 0.600074 1.347046
2025-01-26 0.007874 0.020374 0.049411 0.120127 0.285358 0.647222 1.489872
2025-02-02 0.007555 0.020160 0.050280 0.125623 0.306235 0.711343 1.676697
2025-02-09 0.007093 0.019519 0.050050 0.128475 0.321303 0.764131 1.843659
2025-02-16 0.006540 0.018554 0.048907 0.128952 0.330765 0.805158 1.987909
2025-02-23 0.005991 0.017516 0.047439 0.128419 0.337683 0.840961 2.123626
2025-03-02 0.005447 0.016407 0.045644 0.126809 0.341703 0.870264 2.246778
2025-03-09 0.005210 0.016134 0.046009 0.130922 0.360823 0.938108 2.471660